EMIGRATION, REMITTANCES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE BALTIC STATES: A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE
Abstract
The Baltic States have been facing higher emigration flows since joining the EU in 2004. While integrating to the EU, this region has faced many economic and political issues, which revealed the weaknesses of their economic policies, financial systems and social security systems. Even though after the EU accession in 2004 the Baltic economies have demonstrated rapid economic growth, still their financial performance under the economic crisis has evidently shown their weaknesses. The Baltic States is a crucial example of the regions where the current emigration has drawn the attention of the policy-makers seeking to reduce the possible negative effects from the emigration of young and well-skilled workers. Here, we have employed fixed effects and OLS estimation methods to conduct our research analysis. Our regression analysis has demonstrated that remittances positively and significantly contribute to the economic growth of the Baltic. However, we also need to emphasize the importance of further analysis of the geography of remittances to the region, especially under the conditions of Brexit, given the fact that for many years a large share of remittances the Baltics were receiving from the United Kingdom. The effects of Brexit on the remittances flows from the United Kingdom to the Baltics will definitely take place in the future, thus, shifts in emigration flows and remittances should be in the focus of future research.
Downloads
References
Abduvaliev, M. & Bustillo, R. (2019). Impact of remittances on economic growth and poverty reduction amongst CIS countries. Post-Communist Economies, 1–22.
Barcenilla, S., Gimenez, G. & López-Pueyo, C. (2019). Differences in Total Factor Productivity Growth in the European Union: The role of Human Capital by Income Level. Prague Economic Papers, 28(1), 70–85.
Chinnakum, W., Sriboonchitta, S. & Pastpipatkul, P. (2013). Factors affecting economic output in developed countries: A copula approach to sample selection with panel data. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 54(6), 809–824.
Cingolani, P. & Vietti, F. (2019). ‘My Parents Fell behind’: Social Remittances, Integration and Generational Change Among Moldovan Immigrants. Journal of International Migration and Integration, 10(7).
Cismaș, L. M., Curea-Pitorac, R. I. & Vădăsan, I. (2019). The impact of remittances on the receiving country: Some evidence from Romania in European context. Economic Research, 1–22.
Comes, C.-A. (2018). The Impact of Foreign Direct Investments and Remittances on Economic Growth: A Case Study in Central and Eastern Europe. Sustainability, 10(1), 238.
de la Fuente-Mella, H., Vallina-Hernandez, A. M. & Fuentes-Solís, R. (2019). Stochastic analysis of the economic growth of OECD countries. Economic Research, 1–14.
Devasagayam, P. R., Calderon, F. J. M. & Motyl, N. A. (2016). A Cross-National Empirical Investigation of Music Streaming Behavior. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 6(5), 152-171.
El Hamma, I. (2019). Migrant Remittances and Economic Growth: The Role of Financial Development and Institutional Quality. Economics and Statistics, 503d, 123–142.
Eurostat. (2019). Unemployment by sex and age — Annual average. Eurostat. http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/submitViewTableAction.do
Eurostat. (2020a). Industrial countries’ effective exchange rates — Annual data. http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/submitViewTableAction.do
Eurostat. (2020b). Real GDP per Capita. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&plugin=1&pcode=sdg_08_10&language=en
Fadejeva, L. & Melihovs, A. (2008). The Baltic states and Europe: Common factors of economic activity. Baltic Journal of Economics, 8(1), 75–96.
Fajnzylber, P. & Lopez, J. H. (Eds.). (2008). Remittances and Development: Lessons from Latin America. The World Bank.
Gapen, M. T., Chami, R., Montiel, P., Barajas, A. & Fullenkamp, C. (2009). Do Workers’ Remittances Promote Economic Growth? IMF Working Papers, 09(153), 1.
Ghosh Dastidar, S. (2017). Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Developing Countries: The Role of Openness. Global Economy Journal, 17(2).
Gjini, A. (2013). The Role of Remittances on Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation Of 12 CEE Countries. International Business & Economics Research Journal, 12(2), 193.
Goliuk, V. (2017). Impact Of Monetary And Non-Monetary Factors On Economic Development Of The Baltic Countries. Actual Problems of International Relations, 133, 117–123.
Hazans, M. (2003). Determinants of Inter-Regional Migration in the Baltic Countries. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Hazans, M. (2016). Migration Experience of the Baltic Countries in the Context of Economic Crisis. In: M. Kahanec & K. F. Zimmermann (Eds.), Labor Migration, EU Enlargement, and the Great Recession. Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
Hazans, M. (2019). Emigration from Latvia: A Brief History and Driving Forces in the Twenty-First Century. In: R. Kaša & I. Mieriņa (Eds.), The Emigrant Communities of Latvia. Springer International Publishing.
Hazans, M. & Philips, K. (2009). The Post-Enlargement Migration Experience in the Baltic Labor Markets. In: M. Kahanec & K. F. Zimmermann (Eds.), EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration. Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
Hilmarsson, H. (2019). Nordic-Baltic Cooperation: Opportunities, Divisions And External Threats. Regional Formation and Development Studies, 29(3), 73–85.
Karpestam, R. P. D. (2012). Dynamic multiplier effects of remittances in developing countries. Journal of Economic Studies, 39(5), 512–536.
Kerikmäe, T., Chochia, A. & Atallah, M. (2018). The Baltic States in the European Union. In T. Kerikmäe, A. Chochia, & M. Atallah, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. Oxford University Press.
Kumar, R. R. & Stauvermann, P. J. (2014). Exploring the Effects of Remittances on Lithuanian Economic Growth. Engineering Economics, 25(3), 250–260.
Lewicki, G., Kutwa, K. & Chapman, A. (2019). Hansa 2.0: A return to the Golden Age of trade. Polish Economic Institute.
Maimbo, S. M. & Ratha, D. (Eds.). (2005). Remittances: Development impact and future prospects. World Bank.
Mehedintu, A., Soava, G. & Sterpu, M. (2019). Remittances, Migration and Gross Domestic Product from Romania’s Perspective. Sustainability, 12(1), 212.
Meyer, D. & Shera, A. (2017). The impact of remittances on economic growth: An econometric model. EconomiA, 18(2), 147–155.
Norkus, Z. (2016). A Comparison of the Economic Growth of the Baltic States between the Two World Wars. World Political Science, 12(1), 1–23.
OCSE. (2006). International migration outlook: Annual report: 2006 edition. OECD.
OECD. (2013). Coping with Emigration in Baltic and East European Countries. OECD.
Poissonnier, A. (2017). European Commission, & Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs. The Baltics: Three countries, one economy.
Rausser, G., Strielkowski, W., Bilan, Y. & Tsevukh, Y. (2018). Migrant remittances and their impact on the economic development of the Baltic states. Geographica Pannonica, 22(3), 165–175.
Rusu, V. D. & Roman, A. (2018). An empirical analysis of factors affecting competitiveness of C.E.E. countries. Economic Research, 31(1), 2044–2059.
Włodarska-Frykowska, A. (2018). Migration processes in the Baltic States – the dynamic of change. Eastern Review, 6.
World Bank. (2017). Migration and Remittances Data. World Bank.
World Bank. (2018a). Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS
World Bank. (2018b). Personal remittances, received (% of GDP). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS
World Bank. (2020). Gross fixed capital formation (current US$). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.GDI.FTOT.CD
Yazdi, S. K. (2019). Structural breaks, international tourism development and economic growth. Economic Research, 32(1), 1765–1776.
Yucel, G. E. (2014). FDI and Economic Growth: The Case of Baltic Countries. Research in World Economy, 5(2), 115
Abstract views: 215 PDF Downloads: 149
Copyright
The EUrASEANs
International College Suan Sunandha
Rajabhat University, Bangkok, Thailand